Surging bond yields

Market report Michael Blumenroth – 26.02.2021

Weekly Market Report

As during the previous two weeks, gold started out relatively strong but slackened along the way. The culprit was the bond market, once again the spoilsport for gold prices.

A particular focus is on long-term US government bond yields, which rose over the course of the week to their highest level since March 2020. Yields on ten-year US government bonds climbed from 1.29 per cent at the beginning of the week to 1.60 per cent yesterday, and those on thirty-year bonds from 2.07 to 2.39 per cent. In Europe and especially in commodity exporting countries, yields also rose at a high pace. Yields for ten-year Australian government bonds, for example, went up nearly 40 basis points as the week progressed – a stronger increase than their US counterparts.

Steep price rises for commodities

Yields were exceptional this week, and commodity markets also saw a number of new cyclical highs. The spotlight, among others, was on copper, trading at its highest in almost a decade, as well as oil prices, which rose to a 13-month high and thus reached levels last seen before the first cases of Covid-19 became known in Europe and the US.

Gold, however, did not participate in the commodities rally. Headwinds in the form of sharply rising yields were stronger than the tailwind of the US dollar, which had been weakening until last night. 

Gold price declines week on week

Gold initially rose from 1,775 US$ per ounce last Friday morning to 1,816 on Tuesday morning. In face of the events dominating the bond markets, it receded to 1,758.50 last night and has since only slightly rebounded, currently trading at 1,763.

The price of Xetra-Gold also initially rose within regular trading hours, but then got caught up in the downward pull. The euro jumped to a six-week high against the US dollar, which also weighed on the precious metal. After trading at 47.05 € per gram last Friday morning, it rose to 48.00 on Tuesday but started its retreat from there to its low for the week at 46.55 yesterday afternoon. At the opening of trading today, Xetra-Gold might trade marginally higher at around 46.65.

Looking ahead: focus remains on yields

Gold prices will not be able to escape the development of yields on the bond markets in the coming days. The question is whether current US yields, which many market observers had not expected to ascend to their recent levels before the end of the year, have now reached their upper limit. A weakening US dollar, however, could be beneficial to the gold price.

I wish all readers a sunny end of the week and month.

Upcoming Events

Youtube channel

Production of Umicore precious metal bars

Production of Umicore precious metal bars

Opening Bell Event zum 10-jährigen Bestehen von Xetra-Gold (German)

Opening Bell Event zum 10-jährigen Bestehen von Xetra-Gold (German)

Gold als eigene Anlageklasse: Interview mit Steffen Orben (German)

Gold als eigene Anlageklasse: Interview mit Steffen Orben (German)

Please select the optional cookies to activate Youtube.

Newsletter

Are you interested in receiving regular information on Xetra-Gold? Then subscribe to our monthly, free-of-charge newsletter to learn more about our gold holdings, upcoming events and to read our gold market outlook.

Xetra-Gold Newsletter

We are sorry that you consider to unregister from our newsletter. Are you missing out information? If yes, we are pleased to receive your feedback. Of course, you can always re-register at any later point of time.

Xetra-Gold Newsletter

Xetra-Gold Hotline

Xetra-Gold-Hotline

Do you have questions? We have the answers. Contact us here: 9 a.m.–6 p.m. CET

+49-(0) 69-2 11-1 16 70

xetra-gold@deutsche-boerse.com

For press inquiries:media-relations@deutsche-boerse.com

To contact form